You are here:
Home►SFV Summary
San Fernando Valley (SFV) summary
SAN FERNANDO
VALLEY CLIMATE SUMMARY
Steve W.
Woodruff
Certified Weather Observer
"There are three seasons
in Los Angeles.... drought,
fire, and flood!"
-Robert B. Howard, Professor of Geomorphology
WARNING: USE OF ANY OF THE MATERIAL IN THIS SUMMARY WITHOUT
PROPER REFERENCE IS PLAGIARISM AND SUBJECT TO LEGAL ACTION.
PLEASE GIVE CREDIT WHERE IT IS DUE. A LIST OF REFERENCES IS
PROVIDED AT THE END OF THIS SUMMARY. ALL MATERIAL
NOT REFERENCED IS THE WORK OF STEVE W. WOODRUFF AND SHOULD BE
REFERENCED ACCORDINGLY.
SYNOPSIS
The San Fernando Valley is only 10 miles from the
moderating influence of the Pacific Ocean, yet it continues to
experience increasing temperature trends, lengthening summer
seasons, an increase in the occurrence of 100F°+ maxima, a
decline in the total number of annual freezing minima, and
decreasing average diurnal ranges. These trends suggest that
there may possibly be a heat island effect within the San
Fernando Valley (Valley).
Six weather stations located throughout the Valley provided
over 68,000 days of temperature data going back to 1927 from
this year (2001) (Fig.
1.1). This data has been quality checked by the National
Climatic Data Center (NCDC) in Asheville, North Carolina, and
can be considered trustworthy raw material from which
statistics presented in this summary have been derived.
Synoptic and mesoscale climatic influences undoubtedly
affect, directly or indirectly, the Valley’s temperatures, but
it seems that micro-scale influences are apparent contributors
to the potential urban heat island. Buildings, paved streets,
parking lots, and freeways promote a heat island effect by
nature of their composition, however, it appears topography
and motor vehicle emissions are most influential instigators
of the Valley’s heating trend since the early half of the 20th
century.
Few anomalies exist in this alleged heating trend, and
those that do arise can be attributed to short duration data
sets from out-of-commission weather stations.
Ultimately, the urban heat island engulfing the Valley
should raise alarming questions concerning continued
construction into the foothills such as Porter Ranch,
proposals for new mini-cities like Ahmanson’s Ranch, continued
growth of population in response to continued housing
construction, and that growth’s intrinsic relationship to the
expanded use of the internal combustion engine, particularly
single-passenger SUVs.
INTRODUCTION
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to document trends in air
temperature throughout the San Fernando Valley by interpreting
temporal data sets formulated from the daily extreme
temperature records of several Valley weather stations. It has
long been suspected that the Valley has developed an urban
heat island effect, however, with the exception of a scantily
documented thesis by Joseph Glantz in 1977, no quantifiable
information exists to either prove or disprove an urban heat
island’s existence in the Valley.
There are numerous climatic influences on Valley
temperatures, both at the synoptic- and mesoscales, but it is
the micro-scale influences in the Valley that have had, and
continue to have, a profound influence on local temperatures.
Before the Valley’s temperatures can be examined in any
detail, synoptic and mesoscale climatic influences will be
introduced. This information will serve as a backdrop to what
occurs within the Valley. This summary does not deal with
precipitation or air pollution, and only makes reference to
such in context of temperature analyses. The core of this
summary focuses almost entirely on quantitative analysis of
temperature data.
SEASONS IN THE VALLEY
Introduction
As with all systems, the energy involved in large scales
systems is intrinsically intertwined with energy of smaller
scale systems. Therefore, both synoptic and mesoscale climatic
phenomena will be generalized together in this chapter as a
precursor to Valley temperature trends.
Synoptic scale influences on Valley temperatures include
the semi-permanent North Pacific Subtropical Anticyclone
(henceforth Hawaiian High) which is the subsiding northern
portion of the north Pacific Hadley Cell. Other synoptic-scale
climatic influences are the California
Heat Low, the Great Basin Cold High, and the array of
mid-latitude Pacific cyclones whose passages may be punctuated
on rare occasions by tropical storms.
Mesoscale influences include the subtropical inversion
misleadingly termed, “June Gloom”, diurnal land and sea
breezes, and the quasi-stationary shallow cyclonic circulation
off our coast known locally as the “Catalina Eddy”.
Synoptic and mesoscale climatic conditions have discernable
effects on the Valley’s seasonal weather conditions. Spring
and fall seasons tend to be more transitional periods than
full-fledged seasons in the Valley in terms of temperature,
but it is this transitional quality that makes them unique
from the dominant summer and winter seasons whose temperature
qualities are very discernable from all other seasons.
Spring (~March 21 – ~June 21)
As winter ends and spring begins, the passage of
low-pressure troughs and their associated surface fronts
become decreasingly frequent. At this time the vertical noon
rays of the sun migrate equatorward from the Tropic of Cancer
thus supplying north tropical and subtropical latitudes with
increasing amounts of solar energy. This energy effectively
reenergizes the Hawaiian High from its weakened winter state
and causes it to migrate northward from 30°N latitude due to
energy inbalances. Upper level Westerlies tend to follow the
latitudinal ascent of the Hawaiian High (Court, 1984).
Southern Californian coasts begin to experience an
ever-increasing frequency of low stratus and advection fog
that can be as much as 3000 ft (914.4 m) deep (Kimura, 1974).
This advection fog and low-level stratus formation are
collectively named “June Gloom”. June Gloom is 1 of 3
phenomena that occur in spring. The other 2 phenomena are
Santa Ana Winds and Catalina Eddy conditions. The Santa Ana
Winds and Catalina Eddy phenomena will be covered in more
detail in the summer and fall sections of this chapter
respectively.
Fall (~September 21 – ~December 21)
Astronomically, fall in the northern hemisphere begins when
the vertical noon rays of the sun are at the equator and are
en route to the Tropic of Capricorn. Upper-level Westerlies
and the Hawaiian High follow this southerly track from 40°N
latitude (Court, 1984). The southerly migration of the
Hawaiian High allows for occasional atmospheric disturbances
that may result in frontal passages through southern
California. These fronts continue their eastward track where
they end up over the Great Basin region, an area of the nation
defined as being between the Rockies and Sierra-Cascade
mountain ranges and encompassing southeast Oregon, southern
Idaho, western Utah and all of Nevada. Pressure builds over
the Great Basin becoming the source of hot, dry, Foehn-like
desert winds known locally as the Santa Anas. Santa Ana wind
speed is increased by the venturi effect as they squeeze
through mountain passes on their way to the southern
California coast averaging speeds in excess of 35 knots.
The National Weather Service Forecasting Office of Los
Angeles/Oxnard (NWSFO LOX) delineates a minimum speed
criterion of 25 knots in heavily populated areas, such as the
Valley, in order for winds to qualify as Santa Ana Winds.
Though Santa Ana wind conditions can occur into mid-spring,
their “season” begins in the fall -- hence their coverage in
this section.
The high-pressure cell over the Great Basin usually
originates from an eastward tracking Pacific maritime high
associated with the Hawaiian High. This maritime high-pressure
cell stagnates over the Great Basin thus causing a surface
atmospheric pressure increase resulting in Santa Ana winds.
High pressure over the Great Basin may also originate from
Canada, which results in more continental characteristics such
as stronger pressure gradients and cooler temperatures. Some
high-pressure cells may be extensions of highs over Wyoming or
southern Canada, or be extensions of weakened offshore Pacific
high-pressure cells (Rosenthal, 1972). Location of the
high-pressure cells’ origins determines what type of Santa Ana
Wind conditions will occur.
There are 4 types of Santa Ana winds in the Valley.
By far the most common is the Northeast to Southwest Type,
or what I unofficially call the “Neptunian” Santa Anas. This
type is purely marine in nature –hence the name– and has a
westerly or northwesterly flow aloft. This type of Santa Ana
occurs approximately 12 to 36 hours after a frontal passage
and brings relatively warmer temperatures to the Valley.
A second type of Santa Ana is the East to West Type, so
called because the preceding front is situated east to west
with the high-pressure center to the north (behind) of the
front. I unofficially call these “Combination” Santa Anas.
These winds have a combination of marine and continental
influence, hence the name. The continental influence creates a
stronger pressure gradient between the Valley and Great Basin
which results in stronger winds than the Northeast to
Southwest Type. Santa Ana conditions of this type come 6 to 18
hours after the frontal passage and often bring warmer
temperatures to the Valley.
A third type of Santa Ana is the Southeast to Northwest
type (sometimes south to north) also called the “Backdoor”
Santa Anas. These Santa Anas are purely continental in nature,
are extremely cold, dry, and powerful in terms of wind speed.
Fortunately for homeowners, “Backdoor” Santa Anas are rare.
Usually a high-pressure cell is already situated over the
Great Basin when this front arrives. As such these winds can
come almost immediately after the frontal passage. “Backdoor”
Santa Anas bring colder temperatures to the Valley. These
colder temperatures coupled with wind speeds create a very
pronounced windchill effect (Fig.
2.1).
A fourth type of Santa Ana condition is termed the “Wet”
Santa Anas, so called because they follow the passage of a
precipitous front and can supply their own windstorm
precipitation events. 1 in 4 wet frontal passages precede the
onslaught of “Wet” Santa Anas (Rosenthal, 1972).
Santa Anas are a lee wave phenomenon and therefore can
contribute to lenticular and rotor cloud development over the
Valley. These winds can also generate downslope windstorms
that can create incredible downhill-advancing fires known as
sundowners. Sundowners can be explained mathematically by
determining the Froud number. The Froud number is the ratio of
the fluid velocity to the speed of a linear shallow water
gravity wave.
Fr2 = u2/gD
Super- and subcritical flow over the San Gabriel Mountains
occur when the Froud number is less than or greater than 1
respectively. When this is not the case lee troughing occurs,
the situation experienced with sundowners and with most Santa
Ana conditions (Small, 1995). Lee troughing is covered in more
detail in section 2.5 as part of a synopsis on the Catalina
Eddy phenomenon.
Winter (~December 21 – ~March 21)
Astronomically, winter begins when the vertical rays of the
noon sun are over the Tropic of Capricorn in the southern
hemisphere. Northwesterly flow is the norm as the Pacific High
weakens. The weakened Pacific High allows mid-latitude
cyclones to move in over the Valley from the northwest. It
should be noted that extended strato-bands from low-pressure
centers passing to our north could swing up from the south as
well. If these systems stagnate, then the Valley can
experience winter storms lasting for several days. The clear
weather after a winter storm is the result of an increase in
onshore pressure gradient force (Rosenthal, 1972).
There are 3 basic types of winter storms that may pass
through the Valley. They are the Northern type (high
latitude), the Western type (mid-latitude), and the
Southwestern type (low latitude). I unofficially term the
Northern type of storms “Tracers”, the Western type
“Hooligans”, and the Southwestern type are simply referred to
as true “Winter” storms.
The Northern type (Tracers) originate north of 45°N
latitude in the Gulf of Alaska. This type of cyclone is too
far north to bring much rainfall to the Valley, and often only
result trace amounts of precipitation – less than 0.005”
(0.127 mm).
The Western type (Hooligans) originate between 35°N and
45°N latitudes just north of Hawaii. Their lower latitude
origins allow for their centers to pass relatively closer to
the Valley than their northern counterparts. Specifically,
their centers generally pass over the San Francisco Bay area.
This closer proximity to the Valley than Tracers translates to
more precipitation for the Valley. More precipitation in Los
Angeles equates to more minor traffic accidents and street
flooding, hence the name Hooligans. Precipitation totals from
Hooligans are generally in the realm of 1 to 2 inches (25 – 51
mm).
The Southwestern type of cyclone (Winter Storm) develops
north of Hawaii yet south of 35°N latitude over the central
Pacific. This type of cyclone is associated with the
subtropical jet stream. Due to the warmer water’s positive
effect on evaporation and closer proximity to the Valley,
these storms can bring more than 2 inches of precipitation to
the Valley.
It should be noted that Santa Ana Winds often punctuate
these increasing occurrences of mid-latitude cyclones,
particularly in late December through January.
During the winter, nocturnal land breezes become more
apparent than in any other season (Kimura, 1974). Air
temperatures over land surfaces drop lower at night during the
winter than they do during other seasons. At the same time,
air over the Pacific remains relatively warm. The result is
high pressure over land relative to water and subsequent
offshore air flow.
What occurs is less solar energy absorbed by land and ocean
surfaces during the winter due to the increased angle of the
noontime sun. As a result of this increased angle, solar rays
must pass through more atmosphere before they reach Earth’s
surface. The result is lower solar radiation values than
experienced from more direct sun angles, therefore less energy
input.
The mobile and transparent qualities of water combined with
its high specific heat allow for water to moderate its
temperature throughout the year. Land on the other hand is
opaque, immobile and has a relatively lower specific heat than
water, and these characteristics disallow land surfaces from
storing as much heat energy as water. What results is a higher
net loss of heat energy during the night. This net loss
effectively chills the air over land far more than over water.
The resulting thermal differentiation over land and water
results in uneven cooling of nighttime air over these
surfaces. Air over land becomes much colder and therefore
denser than air over the water. The result is higher pressure
over land relative to water. The pressure gradient created
between atmosphere over land and atmosphere over the sea
results in a net offshore flow (High-to-low flow). This land
breeze brings colder nighttime temperatures to the Valley
because cold air drains through from deserts since the deserts
would then sit in a relatively low-pressure region. Air always
flows from an area of high pressure to an area of low pressure
(Energy goes from where it is to where it isn’t).
Summer (~June 21 - ~September 21)
Astronomically, summer begins as the vertical noon rays of the
sun reach the Tropic of Cancer in the northern hemisphere. The
Hawaiian High is at its strongest at this time and is situated
around 30°N latitude (Court, 1984). The subsidence (a
phenomenon associated with high-pressure systems and clear
weather) occurs on the eastern side of the Hawaiian High over
northern California and the Oregon coast (Kimura, 1974).
Descending air heats adiabatically and continues its descent
to within 2000 feet 610 m) of Earth’s surface thus creating a
strong inversion layer.
Tropospheric vertical soundings taken during the 1980s from
San Diego to Oakland along the California coast expose this
inversion between cool, moist Marine Boundary Layer (MBL) and
warm, dry air above. According to a study involving the
vertical soundings, the inversion created by the subsidence of
the Hawaiian High exists during 90% of the summer (Dorman and
Winant, 1995). Considering the flow of the cold California
Current and its chilling effect on air immediately above it,
this subtropical inversion can become quite pronounced.
The normal northwesterly flow creates a mean drift slightly
offshore. This offshore drift promotes coastal upwelling of
cold ocean bottom water. The result is a band of cold water
--as much as 9°F colder-- along southern Californian shores.
These bands following the coastline of southern California can
be 200-300 miles wide (from the shore out to sea). This band
of cold upwelled bottom water water along the coast is the
launch pad for advection fog. As relatively warm moist Pacific
air masses drift over this cold-water band, heavy fog --1500
to 2000 feet thick-- develops and is carried inland by
northwesterly flow (Court, 1984). Northwesterly flow is aided
by the Hawaiian high and the thermally induced low-pressure
system (Kimura, 1974).
The existing inversion layer vertically traps a relatively
thick layer of stratus within the MBL. This stratus can also
be carried onshore into the Valley via the Burbank/Glendale
area. The invasion of low-level stratus and advection fog into
the Valley is termed “June Gloom”.
The name “June Gloom” is misleading in that this phenomenon
often occurs in July and August as well. In the Valley, the
overcast layer is usually evaporated by noon local time. These
layers tend to evaporate sooner in the west Valley due to its
relative distance from the flat topography in Burbank/Glendale
and the marine-influenced air that comes through that pass.
Having worked at the Van Nuys airport for a couple years, I
have been able to get pilot reports as to the thickness of the
"June Gloom" layers. On average, the uppermost stratus layer
is from about 800-1,000' above ground level with tops at about
2,500' above ground level. The advection fog is at or very
near ground level and can be as thick as 1000’. This
translates to a stratus layer with a thickness of about 1,500'
and fog layer of about 1000’ equating to layers combining to
2500’.
As the sun ascends and warms the layers they thin and
expand vertically. In the years I've worked in the air traffic
control tower at Van Nuys, I've noticed these layer extend to
about 3,000' by around 10am before evaporating completely,
leaving behind a haze with surface visibilities of 5-7 statute
miles.
The subtropical inversion is lowest around San Luis Obispo
slanting upward to the north and south (Court, 1984). One of
the negative effects of the summer inversion layer is that it
inhibits the escape (vertical mixing) of pollutants thereby
creating dangerously high atmospheric pollution levels
throughout the summer in the Valley. Additionally, the Valley
is surrounded by mountains whose tops are high enough to
metaphorically cage in pollutants and reduce atmospheric
mixing thus amplifying pollution levels.
In addition to June Gloom, the Valley also experiences
effects of the Catalina Eddy phenomenon during summer months.
Rosenthal (1972) states, “Subsynoptic-scale vortices or
eddies frequently occur in the lee of southern California
mountain ranges and downwind of the Channel Islands.” The
Catalina Eddy is one such eddy. Catalina Eddy-like phenomena
have also been observed in Australia, Canada, and South
Africa, all of which result from the same basic conditions:
Cold coastal waters and steep coastal mountains slopes. These
combine to promote the conditions necessary for a Catalina
Eddy event (Clark and Dembek, 1991).
Catalina Eddies are common from late spring to early fall,
when occasional southerly flow and an elevated marine layer
replace the normal northwesterly flow of the Hawaiian High.
What occurs is a jet effect from the northwesterly winds that
blows alongshore and is guided by the coastal mountains along
the California bight. South of Point Arguello, a strong jet of
air is sent southeastward past San Miguel and San Nicholas
islands which creates the momentum that drives the eddy
(Court, 1984) (Fig.
2.2).
Catalina Eddies tend to be approximately 100km in diameter
(1 Rossby Radius). As pressure decreases from north to south
along the California coast, lee-troughing can occur southeast
of Point Conception (Mass and Albright, 1989). Considering the
Froud number equation given above, lee-troughing can be
understood as supercritical flow of air on the windward side
of Point Conception which then transmutes to subcritical flow
at the crest of Point Conception where it accelerates and
hydraulically jumps on the leeward side of in order to conform
to ambient atmospheric conditions downwind. This type of
action would promote a surface low as a slight vacuum relative
to surrounding air is created beneath the lifting airflow.
Higher inversion levels occur as the marine layer deepens
during the eddy event thus rendering orographic containment of
atmospheric pollutants below the crest line obsolete. Not only
can air pollutants be mixed through greater vertical depths
with an elevated inversion, but also the resulting increased
cloudiness serves to reduce the effects of photochemical
reactions partially responsible for the production of
photochemical smog (Mass and Albright, 1989). Once the
pollutants have been mixed to higher elevations, they are
carried northward out of the Valley. According to Wakimoto
(1987), tropospheric ozone levels also drop during an eddy
event.
Catalina Eddies bring more moderate temperature conditions
to the Valley and the greater Los Angeles area with warmer
daily minimum temperatures, and cooler daily maximum
temperatures due to the latent heat of condensation and
vaporization respectively (smaller diurnal ranges). Cleaner
air and moderated temperatures prove the Catalina Eddy to be a
welcome respite from an otherwise hot, dry and polluted summer
season.
The sea breeze is more pronounced in the summer than in any
other season as well. The positioning of the Hawaiian High
over the north Pacific and the thermal low over southwestern
Arizona creates a pressure gradient that promotes this sea
breeze (Kimura, 1974). The Santa Monica Mountains block much
of this marine influence from reaching the Valley directly.
However, some marine-influenced air sometimes reaches
Burbank/Glendale where topographic isolation from the ocean is
miniscule.
Valley Temperature Trends and the Urban Heat Island
Effect
Average temperatures in the Valley appear to be gradually
increasing through time. All temperature stations in the
Valley show a heating trend, and most show this trend in all 4
seasons. I hypothesize that this heating trend may be the
result of an increase in greenhouse gases within the Valley,
as well as continued and expanding urban coverage over natural
landscape where synthetic surfaces absorb and re-emit long-wave
heat radiation at higher rates than natural surfaces. Some of
the most dramatic increases have occurred since urbanization
began to take shape on the Valley floor in the 1950s.
It should be stressed here that these heating trends are not
expected to continue indefinitely and will certainly reach an
apex. However, even small increases will have profound effects
on many natural niches.
In the case of a valley (indeed, a city) where few travel
without a motor vehicle --where distances are measured with
time increments rather than distance measurements (e.g. "It's
a five minute drive" as opposed to "It's about 3 miles from
here")… where more people likely means more motor vehicles…
where the daily use of these vehicles results in millions of
tons of greenhouse gas emissions not generated otherwise –
Greenhouse gas production may very well be at a high enough
rate to affect long-term temperature trends.
The mountains that surround the Valley may be containing
these gases effectively enough to allow them to absorb and
reemit heat energy at rates higher than that of a normal
mixture of atmosphere. The inversion created by the Hawaiian
High is known to exist 90% of the time during the summer and
about 50% of the time during winter as explained earlier
(Dorman and Winant, 1995). This inversion exists approximately
2000’asl. At this height, this inversion could effectively
contain pollution within the Valley whose surrounding
mountains elevations are above 2000’asl.
Such conditions can create cities that are generally warmer
than the surrounding, more rural areas. This relative warmth
to the surrounding areas is referred to as an urban heat
island (Fig.
3.1). The reason the effected city is warmer than its
hinterland is due to a difference between energy gains and
losses of each region. Solar energy is absorbed by surfaces
both in the Valley and in surrounding less-developed regions,
however, since the Valley is more urbanized in terms of
non-permeable/non-porous physical structure, it is unable to
retain as much water as surrounding natural areas. This makes
evaporative cooling processes less effective in the Valley.
Also, the thermal properties of buildings, tar, asphalt,
brick and concrete add heat to air by conduction. These
materials are better conductors than most vegetation and can
release heat throughout the day and night. The most dramatic
contributor to the urban heat island effect is waste heat and
greenhouse gas emissions from buildings, cars, trucks, trains,
and aircraft. Heat contribution from these sources can be as
much as 1/3 of that received by solar energy (Lutgins, 1998).
Data Analysis of Extreme Daily Temperatures
Temperature calculations of daily maxima taken from the
Sunland, Burbank, and the Pierce College weather stations show
increasing annual occurrences of 100°F+ days. This increasing
trend of extreme maximum temperatures is indicative of an
existing urban heat island within the Valley (Fig.
3.2-3.4).
Extreme minima have also been affected by the heat island.
Calculations taken from the San Fernando, Sunland, and Pierce
College weather stations show the total number of annual
freezing minima are in decline. Pierce College is of
particular interest because this station has traditionally
exhibited the most extreme temperatures in the Valle. As such,
it would seem that Pierce College would be most resistant to a
declining trend in annual freezing temperatures (Figs.
3.5-3.7).
Approximate periods of when freezing temperatures occur
were figured for 4 Valley stations; Pierce College, Burbank,
Sunland, and San Fernando. Based on 180 years of minimum
temperature data taken from 4 aforementioned weather stations,
the first freezing minimum temperatures generally do not
arrive until late December. It should be noted that Pierce
College begins receiving freezing temperatures about a month
earlier than the rest of the Valley; usually in late November.
Freezing temperatures continue to occur on occasion in the
Valley until around early March, thus making the “freezing
season” a 2 1/2 month affair from late December to early March
each year. San Fernando freezing temperatures tend to linger
into late March possibly due to a nighttime country breeze
from the north generated from heat island convection. This
will be discussed later (Figs.
3.8-3.11).
Alleged Spring Heating Trend
This summary defines spring as encompassing the months of
April, May, and June. Based on 112 years of temperature data
compiled from Burbank and Pierce College weather stations,
mean spring temperatures in the Valley are increasing at a
rate of approximately 1°F every 19yrs. San Fernando data was
not used to determine this rate because the data at this
station terminates in 1974; a time before some of the most
dramatic increases in temperature began to occur.
Nevertheless, San Fernando was also experiencing a heating
trend up to the point of its termination. A mean springtime
heating trend is also apparent in North Hollywood, but was not
figured into the overall rate because of that station’s
relatively small data set and early termination in the 1960s (Figs.
3.12-3.15).
Using the same data sets as above, spring maximum
temperatures are increasing at a rate of about 1°F every 14
years, while spring minimum temperatures are increasing at a
rate of about 1°F every 23.5 years. With the exception of
spring maxima at San Fernando, both Burbank and Pierce College
continue to show increasing temperature trends (Figs.
3.16-3.22). NOTE: All anomalies appearing not to support
the heat island theory in the Valley, such as the cooling
trend of seasonal maxima in San Fernando, will be collectively
dealt with later in this summary.
Alleged Summer Heating Trend
Using Burbank and Pierce College temperature data,
calculations show that mean summer temperatures are increasing
at the rate of 1°F every 26yrs. The San Fernando and North
Hollywood weather stations also show increasing mean summer
temperatures, however, their data was not figured into the
overall rate because of their early terminations in the 1970s
and 1960s respectively (Figs.
3.12-3.15).
Using the same data sets as above, calculations show that
maximum summer temperatures are increasing at a rate of 1°F
every 26yrs, while minimum summer temperatures are increasing
at a rate of 1°F every 26yrs. Data from the North Hollywood
station showed increasing extreme temperature trends as well,
however the data from this station was not figured into the
overall extreme rates due to the station’s early termination (Figs.
3.16-3.22).
Alleged Fall Heating Trend
Using Burbank and Pierce College temperature data,
calculations show that mean fall temperatures are increasing
at the rate of 1°F every 46yrs. Mean fall temperatures were
also on the rise in North Hollywood before that station’s
termination in the 1960s (Figs.
3.12-3.15).
Using the same data sets from Burbank and Pierce College,
calculations show that maximum fall temperatures are
increasing at a rate of 1°F every 36yrs, while minimum fall
temperatures are increasing at a rate of 1°F every 55yrs. Fall
minimum temperatures were increasing at the San Fernando and
North Hollywood stations before their terminations. NOTE:
North Hollywood also was showing an increasing trend in
maximum temperatures (Figs.
3.16-3.22).
Alleged Winter Heating Trend
Again, using Burbank and Pierce College temperature data, mean
winter temperatures are increasing at the rate of 1°F every
55.5yrs. Mean fall temperatures were on the rise in North
Hollywood before its termination in the 1960s (Figs.
3.12-3.15).
Using the same data sets, calculations show that maximum
winter temperatures are increasing at the rate of 1°F every
51yrs, while minimum winter temperatures are increasing at the
rate of 1°F every 60yrs. North Hollywood and San Fernando both
showed increasing minimum temperatures before their
terminations. North Hollywood showed increasing maximum
temperatures as well (Figs.
3.16-3.22).
The varying rates of seasonal temperature increases will be
discussed later.
Non-Astronomical Definitions of Seasons for the Purpose
of Exposing Local Temperature Trends
It is a well-established fact that seasons are defined
astronomically. The Tropic of Cancer, the Tropic of Capricorn,
and the Equator all represent points that are reached or
crossed by the vertical noontime rays of the sun at the
beginning of a particular season. However, for purposes of
exposing temperature trends in the Valley, I have unofficially
redefined seasons quantifiably using temperature criteria.
By defining seasons by temperature values relative to
historical Valley temperatures, I am able to show interesting
trends concerning seasonal durations. I am also able to show
approximate dates of when seasons begin in the Valley.
Thermally Delineated Seasons – Defining Seasons Locally
Seasons are defined here by using 2 major temperature criteria
as well as specific degree-day thresholds.
The first criterion is a maximum temperature threshold for
a particular season. For summers, this maximum is unlimited as
long as it is above 80°F. For spring and fall seasons it is
79°F. For winters it is 69°F.
The second criteria is a minimum temperature threshold for
a particular season. For summers this minimum is 80°F, for
spring and fall seasons it is 70°F, and for winters it is
unlimited as long as it is below 69°F.
Though spring and fall both fall into the same range of
temperatures, the direction of the temperature change trend
over time will delineate whether the range represents spring
or fall. Specifically, fall temperatures tend to decrease as
they approach the winter, and spring temperatures tend to
increase as they approach the summer. Therefore, spring begins
when the minimum end of the range is reached and fall begins
when the maximum end of the range is reached. Continuing this
logic, spring ends when the maximum end of the range is
reached and fall ends when the minimum end of the range is
reached. Summer and winter are simply anything at or above
80°F or at or below 69°F respectively.
The idea that springs tend to be warmer than falls comes
from temperature analysis taken from dates that fall within
astronomically defined seasons. However, by quantifying both
the fall and spring seasons by the same temperature-defined
parameters, one should not assume both seasons will have the
same mean temperature. It is very likely that fall seasons
will have more daily temperatures in the lower portion of its
range whereas spring seasons will have more daily temperatures
in the higher portion of its range. This would result in
warmer springs and relatively cooler falls even though both
are relegated to the same temperature range. Also --as will be
seen in subsequent paragraphs-- temperatures outside the
defining range can occur within a particular season. For
instance, we will see why it is possible for spring to have
80°F or warmer days and fall to have 69°F or cooler days and
still be considered spring and fall respectively, even though
their temperature range criterion doesn’t cover temperatures
above or below 80°F and 69°F respectively.
Temperatures chosen to define the limits of each season
were derived from 173-year averages taken from
astronomically-defined seasons from 5 Valley stations:
Burbank, San Fernando, North Hollywood, Sunland, and Pierce
College. The temperatures picked were chosen because they
occurred around the time of the solstices or equinox
(depending on the season being defined). For instance, 69°F
was chosen as the beginning of winter because this was the
temperature most common around the time of the northern
hemisphere’s winter solstice. It should be stressed, however,
that the first occurrence of a seasonal temperature threshold
does not mark the beginning or end of a particular season. The
determining temperature must be first in a 5-day sequence of
that threshold temperature. Temperatures higher or lower than
the threshold are considered depending on the season being
determined.
Consider the beginning of summer for example… so far I have
defined the beginning of summer as being the point in the year
when an 80°F temperature is reached. However, there might be
an 80°F day followed by a 79°F day. If this is the case, then
that 80°F day does not represent the beginning of summer. The
beginning of summer begins on the first 80°F day or warmer
that is followed by 4 more days with 80°F or warmer
temperatures (a 5-day sequence of ≥80°F). The same holds true
for both minimum values and degree day values (Fig.
3.23). The latter two criteria will be described in
subsequent paragraphs.
All 4 seasons can be put into 1 of 2 groups. Relatively
speaking, there is a warm group and a cool group. In the
Valley (northern hemisphere) it makes sense to place fall and
winter in the cool group and spring and summer in the warm
group based on local historical temperature trends. By
classifying seasons in this manner one is able to distinguish
the 4 seasons from each other with 2 separate linear
depictions (a “cool” line and a “warm” line). Simply as an
illustration, not as a graph, one can see the symmetry of
these quantified seasonal thresholds (Fig.
3.24).
In addition to week-long maxima and symmetrically
quantified seasonal thresholds, I have also delineated the
beginnings and ends of seasons with minimum temperature values
as well as degree-day values. Again, simply as an illustration
(not as a graph), these thresholds can be illustrated as
having symmetry. Their defining degrees must be repeated for 5
straight days in order to be considered the beginning or end
of a season
--like the maximum temperature criterion-- and based on that
5-day requirement, seasons are allowed to contain minimum
temperatures and/or degree days that are outside that
particular seasonal range so long as they don’t continue for 5
or more days in sequence. As with maximum temperatures, this
allows for fall to be cooler than spring and vice versa since
lower or higher temperatures than the defining criteria can be
considered when determining seasonal temperatures.
The minimum temperatures and degree-day values chosen to
define the limits of each season were derived from the same
173-year averages taken from astronomically defined seasons
from the same 5 Valley stations as were used for maximum
criteria. For summer, the minimum range is 55°F or warmer, and
the winter minimum range is 44°F or cooler. Fall and spring
share the same temperature range of 45°F to 54°F, the only
difference being that fall tends to be introduced by the
warmer end of the range and spring tends to begin with daily
temperatures on the cooler end of the given range. If
illustrated as the maximum temperatures have been --in a
linear depiction-- the minimum criteria will show symmetry.
Two types of degree-days are heating-degree and
cooling-degree days. Degree-days are determined by the number
of degrees Fahrenheit the daily mean temperature is from 65°F.
For every degree Fahrenheit above 65°F a cooling-degree day is
counted. For every degree Fahrenheit below 65°F a
heating-degree day is counted. For instance, if the day’s mean
temperature is 71°F, then the day’s degree day count is 6
cooling-degree days. If the day’s mean temperature is 60°F,
then the day’s degree day count is 5 heating-degree days. Days
whose mean temperature is 65°F, have no degree days.
The range of degree days used to determine the beginning of
spring was 5 heating-degree days to zero degree days. For fall
it was zero degree days to 5 heating-degree days, which is the
same range as spring however, fall tends to begin with few or
no heating degree days and spring tends to begin with more
heating degree days. The summer degree day range used was 1
cooling-degree day or more, and winter was 6 heating-degree
days or more (Fig.
3.23).
With 3 symmetrically illustratable delimiters for each
season’s beginning and end, I am now able to better pinpoint
the date where a season starts. Using a table program, I
define 4 columns from left to right as Date, Maximum, Minimum,
Degree Days respectively. Dates run in chronological order
from top to bottom, and maximum, minimum, and degree day
occurrences correspond to their respective dates. This was
done for all available data from the 5 aforementioned weather
stations. Once this was done, calendar years were separated
out and each of the latter 3 columns for each year were
analyzed to find defining criteria (henceforth, defining
occurrence) according to the parameters described on previous
pages. NOTE: Rarely did all 3 (or even 2) criteria occur on
the same date.
The appropriate temperature or degree day was circled that
fulfilled the seasons’ requirements. The first defining
occurrence, whether it be the maximum, minimum, or degree day,
was given the number “1”. The second was given a number based
on how many calendar days away from the first defining
occurrence it was. If it occurred on the 7th of a particular
month and the first occurrence was on the 2nd of that same
month, then the second occurrence would be given the number 6
because it is the 6th day from the first defining occurrence.
The same holds for the third and final defining occurrence.
Considering the given example, if the third occurrence
happens on the 24th, then it would be given the number 23
because it is the 23rd day from the first defining occurrence.
The sum total of these three given numbers is divided by three
to arrive at an average value. In this case the average would
be the number 10. With this average, I added 10 days from the
first day of the first occurrence, and the day I arrived at
would be defined as the first day of whatever season I was
defining. In the given example, the date I would have arrived
at would be the 11th of that month (Fig.
3.23).
Results of Thermally-defined Season Analyses
Based on 173 years of data from 5 Valley stations, using the
techniques outlined above, summer is the dominating season in
the Valley averaging 135 days in length (Fig.
3.26). Fall and spring are by far the shortest seasons
averaging only 46 and 78 days respectively. On average, Valley
winters last the remaining 105 days. The Valley is dominated
by the extreme seasons (summer and winter), but particularly
summer with almost no fall to speak of (which may explain the
lack of fall colors on Valley trees during the months of
September to December).
Using the same data, the beginning and ending dates of each
season within the Valley can be pinpointed. Spring arrives
March 2 and occupies 29% of the calendar year. Summer arrives
on May 19 and occupies 37% of the calendar year. Fall arrives
on October 1 and only occupies 13% of the calendar year.
Finally, winter arrives on November 16 and occupies 21% of the
calendar year (Fig.
3.27). Because these dates have been arrived at based on
variable temperatures, they will change over the years
slightly and ought to be updated every 30 years in the same
manner as “normals” are. This method of determining seasons
proves useful for local studies, particularly in
topographically isolated areas such as valleys.
Normal temperature and precipitation values are arrived at
by figuring 30-year averages. Normals are adjusted every 10
years. To explain, normals currently used for temperature and
precipitation values are derived from averaged 1971 to 2000
figures. In the 1990s normals were derived from 1961-1990
figures, in the 1980s they were derived from 1951-1980 figures
and so on. Considering the techniques used to arrive at
defining seasonal dates, one can figure out normal dates when
seasons begin, and then adjust these dates accordingly every
10 years using the same 30-year standard in use for
determining normal temperatures and precipitation averages.
Seasons can be determined as arriving late or early by using
normal statistics based on non-astronomical temperature
criteria as outlined earlier. Temperature thresholds will
differ depending on the purpose and locality of the research,
but as long as they occur close to the time of the
astronomical season and can be illustrated as having symmetry,
they should prove useful for the researcher.
Next, I looked at seasonal durations using
decadal-dependent data sets. The results show stations
throughout the Valley are experiencing gradual increases in
summer durations through each decade (Figs.
3.28-3.29). This increase in summer duration is
encroaching on the already short, fall season. This
encroachment, obviously, results in decreasing fall durations
(Figs.
3.30-3.31). The lengthening of summer seasons is a trend
that is indicative of a growing urban heat island in the
Valley.
Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Valley Temperatures
Urban growth on the Valley floor not only changes the natural
landscape to a coverage that is more heat conductive, but it
also changes the chemical makeup of the atmosphere above it as
more and more vehicles are introduced. Greenhouse gas emission
into the air above the Valley floor appears to be a defining
cause to the Valley’s heating trend.
Greenhouse gases are gases whose molecules are of sizes
that allow them to absorb infrared (IR) radiation in the 5-17
micron wavelength range. Solar energy is absorbed as
relatively short wave radiation is converted and re-emitted as
a longer IR wavelength thus warming the atmosphere on its
journey to space. Earth naturally produces greenhouse gases
which serve to absorb some of the re-emitted terrestrial IR
radiation. These gases absorb then convert this radiation and
re-emit it back down again towards Earth thus warming the
lower troposphere to bio-friendly temperatures. Some of the
main greenhouse gases that occur in nature include carbon
dioxide (CO2), oxides of nitrogen (NOx), Methane (CH4), and
water vapor. Extremely powerful greenhouse gases that are
purely synthetic in nature include hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs),
perfuorocarbons (PFCs), and sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) which
are results of various industrial processes.
According to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA),
some important facts pertaining to the heat capacity of these
gases include:
Methane [absorbs] over 21 times
more heat per molecule than
carbon dioxide, and nitrous oxide absorbs 270 times more heat
per molecule than carbon dioxide. HFCs and PFCs are the most
heat-absorbent [of all the greenhouse gases] (EPA, 2001).
Unfortunately, blind technological optimism has spurred the
production and subsequent use of motors, manufacturing and
agricultural methods that produce excess greenhouse gases as a
byproduct of their function(s). In addition to this,
greenhouse gas emissions can come from dumps and oilrigs still
in use or not. A large portion of the east and northeast
Valley (around the 5 and 170 freeways) used to be used as
waste disposal sites decades ago. Even though these sites are
no longer being used, they still emit methane gas as the
organic wastes underground continue to decompose. There are
still dumps in operation in the Valley, including Sunshine
Canyon. I unsuccessfully applied for a job at this dump to
monitor methane gas emissions a few years ago, the point being
that Sunshine Canyon is keenly aware of such emissions, though
it should be noted that such emissions are expected at dumps
(and graveyards).
There are still many carbon dioxide emitting oilrigs
scattered around the Valley, as well as flaring practices
being used at a natural gas acquisition facility in the Santa
Susana Mountains. Natural gas flaring is a practiced used to
burn off gas in order to relieve rising pressure or to dispose
of small quantities of gas that are not commercially
marketable. This flaring practice results in the production of
carbon dioxide.
The Valley is home to 3 airports: Burbank, Van Nuys, and
Whiteman. It should be noted that the Van Nuys Airport the
busiest airports in the nation for general aviation, and in
fact held the distinction of being the busiest general
aviation airport in the world. Data obtained from the Van Nuys
airport show that total sorties in and out of that airport had
jumped from 110,214 in 1950 to 618,694 in 1976 (Fig.
4.1). Just under 600,000 sorties were flown in and out of
the Van Nuys airport in 1999 alone (LAWA, 2000). Whiteman is a
much smaller operation, but can easily support over 100,000
sorties a year. Burbank almost parallels Van Nuys in total
number of annual operations, and has a higher percentage of
larger aircraft sorties. Though information on how much NOx
and CO2 is emitted from large commercial and commuter sized
aircraft is not available to the public (gee I wonder why?),
it would seem logical to conclude that aircraft emit higher
levels of these gases than any car or truck.
According to the EPA, average annual emissions and fuel
consumption for passenger cars and light trucks is based on
12,500 annual miles for cars that get 21.5mpg and 14,000
annual miles for light trucks that get 17.2mpg. Based on these
modest standards, the EPA determines that cars emit 1.39 grams
per mile of NOx and 0.916 pounds per mile of CO2. Light trucks
emit less NOx but more CO2, exuding 0.81g/m and 1.15lbs/m of
each respectively (EPA, 2001). I was unable to obtain
information on gallons of water vapor emitted per mile, but
this greenhouse gas should be remembered as a greenhouse
emission from vehicles nevertheless. Standing in site of the
118 freeway at 11am on a weekday, I counted 97 vehicles pass
in front of me in a 1 minute period. If this number is doubled
to count the vehicles which would have passed me on the other
side, I would have a total of 194. Granted, the 118 isn’t the
busiest freeway in the Valley, nor is 11am on a weekday the
busiest hour, but alarming totals for Valley freeway traffic
can be guessed at with some insight. (NOTE: The 405/101
junction in the Valley is the most congested freeway in the
world. Idling vehicles make for inefficient energy
consumption… = pollution.) Multiplying 194 by the total
number of minutes in a day equals approximately 280,000
vehicles a day. There are 6 distinct freeways in the Valley,
and when calculated with the above product the total is 1.68
million vehicles on freeways in the Valley per day.
Considering there is approximately 1.5 million people living
in the Valley (I exclude Glendale), and I conservatively
assume that 30% of them are out driving on Valley surface
streets at any given time, that gives me a total of 450,000
vehicles on the streets. Adding 450,000 street vehicles and
1.68 million freeway vehicles, each emitting an average of
1.1g/m of NOx and 1.2lbs/m of CO2 (averaged from car and light
truck figures from the EPA), and that each of these 2.13
million vehicles averages 35 miles a day, the Valley ends up
with a daily NOx and CO2 input of 82 Megagrams and 89.5
million pounds of NOx and CO2 respectively. I don’t really
want to emphasize the idiocy of the EPA using both metric and
English methods of measurement for two different gases of the
same state, but I do want to reemphasize the fact that NOx
absorbs 270 times more heat energy than CO2.
Combining the emissions produced by old and existing dumps,
oil and gas rigs, aircraft from 3 airports, trains, and
millions of cars, light trucks, big rigs, and buses, it is no
surprise that temperatures in the Valley have raised so much
since the turn of the century.
Diurnal Ranges: Illustrating the Transitional
Microclimate and Greenhouse Gases
Local topography combined with the inversion described earlier
affect Valley temperatures in that they act as a barriers to
external low-level influences thus trapping greenhouse gases
emitted at low elevations. The surrounding mountains also
serve to separate the Valley from the deserts and ocean.
First we will look at how diurnal ranges show the Valley to
be in a transition zone, and then we will look at how these
same diurnal ranges show there is an increasing presence of
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere above the Valley floor. The
diurnal range is the temperature difference between the two
extreme temperatures (maxima and minima).
More extreme temperatures occur in the mountains and
deserts to the north of the Santa Susana Mountains and to the
northeast of the San Gabriel Mountains. More moderate
temperatures occur along the coasts south and west of the
Santa Monica and Simi Hills respectively. Geographically, the
Valley is located in a transition zone between marine and
continental temperature regimes (Glantz, 1977).
Being in a transition zone, the Valley exhibits both marine
and continental temperature extreme characteristics. Burbank,
in the east Valley, exhibits the most marine-like extremes
because of its proximity to the “Narrows” (an area of flat
topography exposed to marine air).
Basically, the “Narrows” is a gap in the topographical
barrier that separates the climatically marine coasts from the
more continental-like Valley (Csa climate). As such, Burbank
experiences smaller diurnal ranges than other parts of the
Valley. The western and northern ends of the Valley are much
more continental in nature. These sections of the Valley
experience larger diurnal ranges than in the southeastern
portion of the Valley because of their distance from any
topographical gaps to the ocean.
The best examples of areas in the Valley that quantifiably
illustrate the marine and continental dichotomy are Pierce
College and Burbank (at opposite ends of the Valley). Based on
50 years of daily temperature data collected from 1950 to
1999, continentally influenced Pierce College averages a 7°F
greater diurnal range than the marine-influenced Burbank
station.
Topography not only acts to separate the Valley from purely
continental and marine climates, but it also serves to contain
greenhouse gases. The containment is most efficient during the
summer months when the inversion from the Hawaiian High is
strongest (at the 2000-foot level). To see if there is a
general increase of greenhouse gases in the Valley, I looked
at the trend of diurnal ranges over time. If there is
increasing levels of greenhouse gases in the air, I would
expect to see two things. One would be an overall increase in
temperatures throughout the Valley. The second would be a
gradual decrease in the diurnal range between extreme monthly
temperatures. The first has been established as an apparent
occurrence in the Valley based on data presented earlier, the
latter is demonstrated in figures 4.2 and 4.3.
What these two graphs show (Figs.
4.2 & 4.3) is a general decline in diurnal ranges thus
suggesting that latent heat from greenhouse gases is
moderating one of the temperature extremes. Based on
quantified evidence of increasing 100°F+ maxima, decreasing
freezing minima, and looking at all the temperature charts
showing heating trends, we can see that the extreme
temperatures being moderated are the minima. What is likely
occurring is a nighttime heat flux from lingering greenhouse
gases (as well as terrestrial radiation from urban
structures), which are keeping minimum temperatures warmer
than they otherwise would become. The result is a warmer low
and a smaller diurnal range between the extremes.
What is perhaps more interesting, is the fact that diurnal
ranges do not decrease in winter and spring months, a time
when the inversion from the Hawaiian High is at its weakest or
even non-existent (Figs.
4.4-4.5). This supports the idea that the topography of
the mountains encompassing the Valley and the inversion from
the Hawaiian High act together to contain greenhouse gases
above the Valley floor. Possibly, this is why diurnal range
temperatures decrease in summer and into fall months, then
lose this trend and increase in the winter months (as outside
influences invade the Valley’s atmosphere) and continue into
the spring before the inversion can reestablish itself.
<<run-on sentence… I know.
Some other interesting possibilities as to why diurnal
range temperatures decrease during months with a strong
inversion present include swimming pools and vegetation
(though slight).
Figure 4.6 is a photograph I took from a Cessna over West
Hills on the northwest end of the Valley near the Chatsworth
Reservoir. Notice the number of pools in relation to the
number of houses.
The street bisecting the neighborhood from the massive
parking lot is Fallbrook Ave. In addition to showing the
density of pools and imported vegetation in the neighborhood,
this photograph also shows the other extreme of human
interference on the natural landscape of the Valley… a parking
lot. Massive parking lots such as the one shown in this
photograph have enormous heat capacities.
During the warmer summer months and into fall, evaporation
rates are considerably higher than they are in any other time
of the year. Pool owners in the Valley find themselves
constantly filling their pools during the summer due to
evaporative losses. If the picture taken is any indication of
the number of pools in the Valley, then it can be assumed that
their numbers are close to a million or more. If there are 1
million pools in the Valley, each pool has a surface area of
600 square feet and holds 15,000 gallons or more, then there
are over 15 billion gallons of water with a combined surface
area of 600 million square feet available for evaporation into
the Valley’s atmosphere. This does not include water stored in
the Los Angeles Reservoir, Pacoima Reservoir, Encino
Reservoir, Upper Stone Canyon Reservoir, Green Verdugo
Reservoir, the Chatsworth Reservoir, the Hollywood Reservoir,
Lake Balboa, Toluca Lake, or any other relatively large body
of water in the Valley. The water vapor evaporated from these
sources can add to the nighttime urban heat island effect,
keeping minimum temperatures warmer than they would be
otherwise. This may or may not be true at all elevations below
2000', but it appears to be an influence at and below the
10-15 foot level (it should be noted here that coop and ASOS
weather sensors are taking measurements at 5.5 feet above the
ground, and that humans live in the lower 6-7 feet of
atmosphere above ground level!). This is not to claim that
this is a nightly occurrence. Winds and land breezes from
surrounding areas can infiltrate the Valley and create enough
mixing on some nights to remove excess water vapor.
In addition to man-made bodies of water as sources of water
vapor, Valley vegetation may play a noticeable role in warming
nighttime temperatures. With suburbanization comes the bucolic
love of lawns and green landscapes regardless of the desert
environment upon which this imported vegetation is planted.
Millions of trees have been planted and millions of lawns have
been laid. Almost none of the vegetation in the Valley today
could exist without the Department of Water and Power. The
Valley was largely devoid of trees up to the early decades of
the 20th century (Figs
4.7-4.10). It is a dry Mediterranean climate with only
chaparral and desert grasses, but because the Valley has a
seemingly unlimited source of fresh water at its disposal, it
is able to support lush green lawns and tropical vegetation
quite easily.
The combination of moist-climate vegetation in the
dry-climate Valley results in unnaturally high transpiration
rates between the stomata on leaves and the air immediately
above them. It is unnatural because plants could not maintain
such high transpiration rates in the Valley if only naturally
occurring water supplies were available. In spite of such high
vapor pressure gradients between the air and vegetation,
vegetation is able to avoid loss of turgon because of constant
supplies of water from things like sprinkler systems and
garden hoses. It is possible that for areas such as the one
shown to the left of Fallbrook Ave. in
Figure 4.6, that water vapor pressure is higher below the
tree line in heavily suburbanized areas with a relatively high
density of lawns, shrubs, and trees.
TEMPERATURE DATA ANOMALIES
There were several anomalies discovered in data calculations
that appear not to support the urban heat island theory in the
Valley. These anomalies will be addressed together with the
station from which the anomalous data was obtained. San
Fernando, Burbank, and Sunland each showed temperature
anomalies.
San Fernando Temperature Anomalies
Anomalies produced by the San Fernando weather station are
decreasing trends in 100°F+ annual maxima, mean temperatures,
annual maximum temperatures, and annual minimum temperatures.
Though these trends appear anomalous, it must be considered
that temperature records from San Fernando cease in 1974. Some
of the largest temperature increases occurred in the years
after 1974.
Burbank Temperature Anomalies
Anomalies produced by the Burbank weather station are an
increase in annual freezing minima and no change in fall
minimum temperatures. The latter can simply be due to the fact
that Burbank receives the moderating influence of marine air
from the Pacific Ocean through the “Narrows”. This could keep
fall minimum temperatures from increasing over time. Also, the
location of Burbank at an opening in the topographical barrier
allows that city to experience more mixing with outside air,
which could counter any urban heat island influences.
Sunland Temperature Anomalies
Anomalies produced by the Sunland weather station are
decreasing mean summer, winter, and fall temperatures, as well
as decreasing spring maximum temperatures. Sunland temperature
data only exists from 1950-1965, far too short and terminated
too early to be considered justifiably anomalous. Also,
Sunland is tucked away between the San Gabriel and Verdugo
mountains at an elevation approximately 500 feet higher than
other Valley stations.
Conclusions
All available temperature data indicates that the Valley is
experiencing a heat island effect. There are gradual increases
in temperatures for all seasons and at both monthly
temperature extremes. There are increasing trends of annual
100°F+ maxima. There are decreasing trends in annual freezing
minima. Diurnal ranges are narrowing in months that experience
a strong inversion layer, and increasing in months without
such a layer thus suggesting that greenhouse gases are
effectively trapped below the inversion created by the
Hawaiian High. Statistics point to substantial inputs of
greenhouse gases of all types, and it is difficult to deny the
fact that such quantities are not at least minimally affecting
an urban heat island. In addition to greenhouse gas inputs,
the Valley continues to be urbanized as millions of metric
tons of additional concrete, asphalt and other high heat
capacity materials replace the natural cover of the valley
floor.
The network of weather stations is good, but the
reinstitution of decommissioned stations would prove extremely
useful to the academic, public, and private sectors. There is
a plethora of information to be sifted through and more to be
collected. Stations should be installed at the old San
Fernando site, Sunland site, and some in areas in the central
Valley. Though the Valley has abundant rain and temperature
data, it is pathetically lacking in wind and atmospheric
pollution data. A wealth of information awaits the academic
community, but cannot be tackled until the proper network of
recording stations is created. A well-established network of
recording stations will also help monitor atmospheric variable
changes if and when steps are taken to curb the alleged
heating trend.
REFERENCES
Clark, J.H.E., and Dembek, S.R., The Catalina Eddy Event
of July 1987: A Coastally Trapped Mesoscale Response to
Synoptic Forcing, Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 119, 1714-1735,
1991.
Court, A., California’s Climates, Climatology of the United
States, No. 60-4, 1984.
Deis, D., Instructional Support Assistant, California State
University Northridge, 2001
Dorman, C.E., and Winant, C.D., Buoy observations of the
atmosphere along the west coast of the United States,
1981-1990, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 100, No. C8,
16,029-16,044, August 15, 1995.
Environmental Protection Agency, Global Warming: Emissions,
http://www.epa/gov/globalwarming/emissions/, 2001.
Glantz, J.R., San Fernando Valley Climate, Geography
Thesis, California State University Northridge, 1977.
Kimura, J.C., Climate, Summary of Knowledge of the Southern
California Coastal Zone and Offshore Areas, Vol. 1, Physical
Environment, Bureau of Land Management, Dept. of Interior,
Contract 08550 CT4-1, 2.1 - 2.70., 1974
LAWA, Van Nuys Airport, Total Operations History,
http://www.lawa.org/vny/html/history1.html, 2000.
Lutgens, F.K., and Tarbuck, E.J., The Atmosphere Seventh
Edition, Simon & Schuster, 1998.
Mass, C.F., and Albright, M.D., Origin of the Catalina
Eddy, Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 117, 2406-2436, 1989.
Rosenthal, J., Point Mugu Forecasters’ Handbook, Technical
Publication of the Pt. Mugu Pacific Missile Range,
PMR-TP-72-1, April 1972.
Small, I.J., Santa Ana Winds and the Fire Outbreak of Fall
1993, NOAA Technical Memorandum, NWS WR-230, June 1995.
United States Environmental Protection Agency, Air and
Radiation, Office of Transportation and Air Quality
Publication, EPA 420-F-00-013, April 2000.
Wakimoto, R.M., The Catalina Eddy and its Effect on Pollution
over Southern California, Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 115,
837-855, 1987.
|